The Baylor Bears are on a roll. Well maybe not but their win last Friday was huge for the program and it was huge for the plethora of online cappers who had the Bears to demolish Washington State in their college football picks, which they did. That win has the Bears believing they can do a lot more than just win a home game against a weak PAC 10 opponent. There is no doubt in anyone's mind that this Baylor team is a lot better than the one of years past and I say that because three games into the season, the Bears are almost at their win total of 3 games from just one year ago in 2007 and I have a feeling this team is going to flirt with Bowl eligibility at some point. This is a very winnable college football picks matchup for these guys because the Big East has taken quite a few notches in the wrong direction this season and if Baylor can play the way they have the last two weeks, and a lot of experts really think they can walk into UConn and shock the Huskies. I found an interesting note showing that Baylor is 11-2 SU in their last 13 games prior to a bye since the 1994 season and although many of those games were quite a long time ago, I strongly believe this team is destined for good things. The College Football oddsmakers at Sportsbook have made a late line move to make the Connecticut Huskies the dominant -13pt favorite heading into tonight college football matchup against Baylor.

Connecticut Huskies -12 (5 Units)

Huskies will take down the Bears, their wins over Washington State and Northwestern State were impressive and you can't forget that for at least a portion of their game against Wake Forest, this Bears team did compete and they did make a game of it so they are dangerous. Baylor comes into this game averaging a very decent 36.3 points per game this season and they have managed to do that on a whopping 447.3 total yards of offense per game and 7.2 yards per play in those games. Connecticut's defense has played well this season and they have allowed only 7.3 points per game this season and have allowed 229.0 total yards of offense per game on 4.0 yards play in those games. On the ground is where I think Baylor could have some success in this one as they have averaged a whopping 242.3 rushing yards per game on the season and in those games have averaged 6.3 yards per carry. QB Robert Griffin leads the team in rushing with 288 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns which is impressive considering he passes as well as he throws. The Huskies defense has allowed opponents to rush for only 66.3 yards per game this season on 2.6 yards per carry but they have yet to face a double threat QB like Griffin which is where I think they will make some adjustments and allow themselves to pull away once they do. In the air, Griffin has completed 62.3% of his passes this season for 10.3 yards per pass attempts, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions (which is impressive even after playing against Wake Forest the INT machines). Connecticut's defense has allowed opposing QB's to complete 56.4% of their pass attempts this season for 5.2 yards per pass attempt. Griffin has been sacked only 4 times this season, remarkable considering the state of the O-Line, and his mobility will be huge tonight against a Huskies defense that already has 9 sacks on the season. The Huskies also have 6 interceptions on the year but they have recovered only one fumble. In other words UConn has no trouble stopping teams that throw interceptions and allow a lot of pressure on their QBs. Well Baylor does neither and I think they will actually have their offense on the move but as to how long that will last, I'm not sure. The Bears have lost 4 fumbles this season and that could be a problem because they are a team not used to running the ball so many times per game and I have no doubts they will turn the ball over when this game matters most. With a nice little dose of running game combined with Griffin's ability to find a great group of receivers on the deep ball, the Huskies defense will probably struggle early in this game until they get things together and realize that if you contain Griffin, he really has nothing but his legs and his ability to throw downfield. He is still a bit raw. This is the biggest test for the UConn defense and although they have played well, the duo threat QB is going to be a challenge and I think the oddsmakers did a good job with this line. I like Baylor but not on a Friday night and not in this place against UConn. CONTINUED >>