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2008-2009 College Basketball Picks PDF Print E-mail
Written by Docs
 
Thursday, 13 November 2008

2008-2009 College Basketball Predictions (11-13-2008)  2008-2009 College Basketball Picks: The College Basketball picks and betting season is starting to fire-up. As the season starts not many college basketball betting will take place, but its never to early to get your cololege basketball picks. College basketball really doesn't fire-up until March Madness but there are plenty of college basketball betting opportunities to take advantage of before then. As things get fired up for this tears college football picks serason, here is my random collection of college basketball picks to get you thinking about the season ahead of us.



College Basketball Predictions: The Favorites

North Carolina - The Tar Heels are the obvious and overwhelming No. 1 team. They are 2/1 to win it all. UCLA is second best at 9/1. The question is whether you buy into the hype and look at who might finish No. 2, or whether you want to avoid drinking the Kool-Aid. I'm going to fade the Tar Heels, though. Just purely on the basis of logic and value it makes sense - the Tar Heels would have to win it once every three times to pay off, but I'm not willing to accept that. There is too much that could go wrong - it's a long season, Tyler Hansbrough isn't healthy right now, too many players could be playing for themselves to secure draft status, and everyone is going to be out to get them. They are unquestionably the favorite to win it all, and I won't at all be surprised to see Roy Williams cutting down a net, but this price just doesn't make sense.

Duke (12/1) - There's a lot more hype around this team now than there has been in recent years. They are better than they have been, and they have some impressive young talent. There are a few questions, though - can all the talent play together, and who is going to pull down rebounds? They will be better than they were last year, but I still don't think they are ready to take Coach K back to the promised land. Maybe they would if the coach would figure out how to recruit a big man.

Louisville (12/1) - I've been down on two teams so far, so now it's time to be positive. I love the Cardinals this year. Rick Pitino is as good as it gets as a coach, and he has his best collection of players he has had in years. Earl Clark is going to emerge into a mega-star this year. Samardo Samuels has the potential to be an all-world freshman. Point guard isn't a strength, but if they find a workable solution then this team can go deep.

UConn (10/1) - With Thabeet and Adrien, this team is going to be ferocious in the interior. I don't trust them, though. Their scoring could be an issue, and there are all sorts of character issues that could explode before the end of the year. Jim Calhoun has a huge task ahead of him, and I'm not convinced that the legend is up to the challenge this year. I won't be on them.

UCLA (9/1) - This is one of those teams that got better through subtraction -- Westbrook and Love were both great players, but not good enough in the system to go deep. Fresh blood plus good veteran presence in Collison and Shipp has the potential to raise this team up a notch or two. Jrue Holiday and J'Mison Morgan are two very impressive freshmen. I'd like this price to be a bit higher, but I'm certainly not going to overlook this team.

Other Teams I Like At Their Price

Michigan State (15/1) - This team will be better without Drew Neitzel. That's not often the case with a star player, but the rest of the team was too tentative when Neitzel took it upon himself to make things happen.

Purdue (20/1) - This team had a great year last year to build upon. Robbie Hummel is going to be a star.

Syracuse (35/1) - This is obviously a bit of a longshot, but I love this team at this price. They will be seasoned by playing in a ridiculously tough conference. Losing Donte Green means they have one less selfish player to cope with. Jonny Flynn is going to be recognized as one of the two or three best point guards in the country. This team is going to surprise, and do some damage.

Siena - You always have to throw in a mid-major. I'll take the Saints over Davidson solely because the loss of Jason Richards moves Stephen Curry to point guard. That will cost him some effectiveness.

USC (35/1) - O.J. Mayo was a distraction for this team. He also never really meshed with Daniel Hackett. DeMar DeRozan is a freak of a freshman, though, and he will be able to thrive under much less scrutiny than last year. This is a dangerous team, and they will be well positioned coming out of a relatively weak conference.

Teams I Don't Like At Any Price

Tennessee (16/1) - This team lost a ton in the offseason, and I don't see how they have replaced it. No value at this price.

Kansas (25/1) - Kansas has some good talent in place, but they lost too much last year. Florida had a real adjustment period after the champion stars left, and I expect the same thing in Kansas. The season will be far from a disaster, but there will be no repeat.

Georgetown (25/1) - There are just too many good teams in the Big East, so some are inevitably going to struggle. The Hoyas are one of the teams I pick to do so.

Overall Statistics for Last 7 Days

Overall Stats
Profit in Units +71.45 units
ROI +26.46%
Flat ROI +26.46%
Overall Record 6-3-0
Winning Percentage 67%
Spreads Record 4-2-0
Totals Record 2-1-0
Moneyline Record 0-0-0
Average Stake 30.00 units
Legendary Handicapper Doc sells daily picks  - Bankroll Growth Chart (Overall)

 
Date Teams Opening
11/13
20:15
Prairie View A&M
Weber State
  
+10½(100)
-10½(-110)
136( ov-105)
+11½(-110)
-11½(-110)
137( ov-110)
+11½(-110)
-11½(-110)
137( ov-110)
+11½(-110)
-11½(-110)

11/13
23:00
Miami Ohio
UCLA
  
+15(100)
-15(-110)
124( ov-109)
+16½(-110)
-16½(-110)
124( ov-115)
+16½(-110)
-16½(-110)
124½( ov-110)
+15½(-110)
-15½(-110)
124½( ov-110)

2008-2009 College Basketball Picks| Bet on College Basketball at Betus.com

Last Updated ( Thursday, 13 November 2008 )
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Kansas vs Memphis NCAA Finals Betting Wrapup (04-07-08) PDF Print E-mail
Written by Kosmo Philyako
 
Tuesday, 08 April 2008

Kansas vs Memphis NCAA Finals Betting Wrapup (04-07-08)Kansas Wins 2008 NCAA Basketball Title after defeating Memphis by seven points in overtime!  Kansas managed to capitalize on some mistakes by Memphis which came in the form of free-throw shooting. Kansas seals their first National Basketball Championship in 20 years during this Monday night College Basketball Picks matchup.

Memphis was leading with 2:12 left in regulation but managed to miss four free-throws in the final minutes of the game and Kansas managed to push hard for the tie with a 3 point shot to send the game into overtime. Kansas then capitalized and managed to seal their victory with a 75 - 68 win in overtime. 

Memphis Tigers player Joey Dorsey was visibly shaken as Chalmers hit the 3 pointer that ties the game. 

"When you're out there, it was tough because you're looking at the ball, you're looking at the rotation," stated Memphis guard Chris Douglas-Roberts "I seen it was going in. It hurt."

"I wish we would have made the free throws," stated Memphis coach John Calipari. "But let's put it this way. Did we have the guys at the line that we wanted at the line? Yeah.

"They don't make every shot. They're not machines, these kids.

The Jayhawks went on a 6-0 run in the first 2:22 of overtime to dash the Memphis Tigers championship dreams. The Tigers were in daze during overtime. Imagine, If you were up nine points with just over two minutes left in regulation, and watched your lead disolve into some kind of twisted dream? As Memphis' Calipari said, "You have a lead like that, you're supposed to win the game!"

As we saw this year in the NCAA Championship matchup against Kansas and Memphis 9 point leads dont matter much if you digg deep!

Now that the College Basketball Betting Season has come to an end OnlineSportshandicapping.com will have all the latest lines and sporting news for MLB. Make sure you bookmark the site to monitor all the MLB betting lines .

 

Last Updated ( Tuesday, 08 April 2008 )
 
March Madness Betting Picks: Memphis vs. Kansas (04-07-08) PDF Print E-mail
Written by Kosmo Philyako
 
Monday, 07 April 2008

March Madness Betting Picks: Memphis vs. Kansas (04-07-08) Both Memphis and Kansas won their NCAA conference picks regular-season and tournament, and both hammered to 18-point victories in Saturday's Final Four betting semifinals, Memphis over UCLA, and Kansas over North Carolina in one of the last March Madness Betting Picks.

 

Two almost identical NCAA basketball betting teams meet Monday night to wrap-up the college basketball betting picks season when co-No. 1 seeds Memphis (38-1) and Kansas (36-1) play in San Antonio for the NCAA basketball championship, with the Tigers 1.5-point favorites (over/under: 146.5) on WagerWeb.com.

The Jayhawks and Tigers rank 1-2 nationally in scoring margin and thrive in man-to-man defense. Memphis is among the top 10 in field goal percentage defense, blocked shots and assist-turnover ratio, Kansas in shooting percentage, 3-point percentage, assists and field goal percentage defense.

"They look like a mirror image of us," stated Memphis forward Joey Dorsey. "They have a dominant backcourt. They're long, athletic, and can bring four big men off the bench."

KU coach Bill Self joked that with their fast-paced styles of NCAA play, it was likely that Kansas or Memphis led the country in lobs for dunks. He said that he and Memphis coach John Calipari, with rosters stocked with
talented players, faced a similar challenge.

"Getting really talented guys to be very, very unselfish and understand that it's going to be a different guy every night," Self said. "With them, it's primarily two guys. With us, you never know. I think it will be a fun Monday night."

Chris Douglas-Roberts , at 6-foot-7, and the 6-3 Derrick Rose could be the Tigers' biggest advantage because Kansas' starting guards, Mario Chalmers and Russell Robinson, are 6-1; Robinson likely will get
the defensive call on Rose. The top reserve guard, Sherron Collins, is only 5-11.

Douglas-Roberts and Rose combined for 53 points Saturday and have carried the load all tournament - while Kansas is more balanced with seven players averaging between 7.2 and 13.4 points.

Brandon Rush (6-foot-6) and Douglas-Roberts could be the key matchup in this game. Douglas-Roberts is the leading scorer in the NCAA Tournament, averaging 23.6 points in the Tigers' five NCAA triumphs. Rush is arguably the most athletic of KU's many athletes.

Rush is averaging a more modest 16.6 points per game during Kansas' NCAA run. But he had 25 in the semifinal win over North Carolina and made crucial all-around plays down the stretch.

Rush is Kansas' top 3-point shooter at 42.3 percent. CD-R makes 41 percent of his 3-pointers but relies on
what Rose describes as "old man" moves to befuddle opponents. Douglas-Roberts has made more free throws (155) than any player on Kansas has attempted.

The most difficult college basketball betting matchup for Memphis will be inside. The Jayhawks have four capable big men and would like to force Memphis to take out a guard - the Tigers start three - and form a bigger lineup.

"The way they run their offense is different than the way we run it, but the philosophy's still the same," Self said. "Get the ball to the paint."

Kansas' Darrell Arthur, Sasha Kaun and Darnell Jackson will have to help when Rose and Douglas-Roberts drive in the paint. Arthur, the team's second-leading scorer, set the tone early against North Carolina with
a big block. Memphis forwards Joey Dorsey (15 rebounds vs. UCLA), Robert Dozier and backup Shawn Taggart help the transition game get going with rebounds and defense.

One key stat: As fast as Memphis plays, it doesn't get sloppy - averaging only 8.4 turnovers in tournament play. KU is averaging 14.4 turnovers in the tourney.

Tonight marks Memphis' second title-game appearance - the Tigers lost to Bill Walton and UCLA in 1973.
Kansas won the tournament in 1952 and '88, and its 13 Final Fours rank fourth all-time.

Betting trends: Kansas enters having covered 8 of 11. KU is 7-1 in its last eight as an underdog. It has gone under the total in four straight. ... Memphis has covered its last three, but the Tigers are just 7-13
in their last 20 against the spread. The Tigers have exceeded the total in five straight contests.

Prediction: I'm tired of not believing in Memphis. As good as Kansas was in the first half against UNC, you
wonder if the Jayhawks expended too much energy. The Tigers win their first national title .

 
NCAA Basketball National Championship: Kansas vs Memphis (04-07-08) PDF Print E-mail
Written by Robert Johnson
 
Monday, 07 April 2008

NCAA Basketball National Championship: Kansas vs Memphis (04-07-08)A high scoring NCAA Basketball National Championship game could be on tap tonight as two teams that love to run and gun take the court.  Kansas averages 80.7 points per game while Memphis averages 80.2 points per game.  Both teams also play excellent defense, but when two teams that love to run get together it usually is fun to watch. SBG Globalreports that early NCAA Basketball betting has the public taking Memphis at Home.

NCAA Basketball National Championship Betting Preview
Kansas (36-3) vs. Memphis (38-1)
Monday, 9:15 pm Eastern – CBS

SBG Global Opening Line: Kansas  - 1.5, Total 144

In the backcourt it will be Memphis guards Derrick Rose and Chris Douglas-Roberts facing the Kansas duo of Sherron Collins and Mario Chalmers.  No guard tandem has been better than the Rose and Douglas-Roberts so that may give the Tigers the edge.  The Jayhawks may have an edge up front since Darrell Arthur is their second leading scorer.  Memphis has the size though with Joey Dorsey and Robert Dozier.  Both teams are very deep with talent coming off the bench.  Memphis is averaging only 8.4 turnovers per game in the tourney while Kansas is averaging 14.4 per game.

SBG Global Current Line: Memphis  - 2, Total 147.5 

Kansas is looking for its first national title in 20 years. Memphis is playing for its first ever men’s basketball title. Neither Kansas coach Bill Self nor Tigers coach John Calipari has ever coached in a national title game. Memphis is averaging only 8.4 turnovers in tournament play. Kansas is averaging 14.4 turnovers in the tourney. 

Here are the NCAA Basketball betting stats for Monday’s game.  The Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog. The Jayhawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Conference USA. The Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Jayhawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday games. 

The Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Big 12. The Tigers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Monday games.

The Under is 5-0 in the Jayhawks last 5 neutral site games. The Under is 7-0 in the Jayhawks last 7 NCAA Tournament games. The Over is 4-1 in the Jayhawks last 5 Monday games. The Under is 36-16-1 in the Jayhawks last 53 non-conference games. 

The Over is 6-0 in the Tigers last 6 NCAA Basketball National Championship Tournament games. The Under is 7-1 in the Tigers last 8 vs. the Big 12. The Under is 5-1 in the Tigers last 6 Monday games.

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Last Updated ( Monday, 07 April 2008 )
 
March Madness Upsets (03-20-08) PDF Print E-mail
Written by Robert Johnson
 
Thursday, 20 March 2008

March Madness Upsets (03-20-08)The popularity of March Madness is unquestionable. For most people you only need to look around your office today to back that up (as workplace productivity plummets every year during the three-week tournament). 

There are many reasons this tournament has transcended its sport and the entire sporting world, interlacing itself into the larger culture (case in point - my 83-year old grandfather called last night asking for help with his March Madness pool) – from the obvious reason of people simply having a passion for college sports, to the fact that the office pools, bracket contests and wagering have pushed this event from a quaint collegiate tournament to the massive machine we now know as “March Madness” 

But also contributing to the growth in stature, is that March Madness has a long history of upsets, and people love these “David and Goliath” teams. Seemingly every tournament in fact, there’s a “feel-good” story that captures the national headlines, as little school beats the big guy, tiny conference knocks off the ACC heavyweight, and on and on. 

The general public can’t get enough of an underdog who scratches and claws their way to the Big Dance, then proceeds to beat seemingly overwhelming odds (remember George Mason’s appearance in the Final Four in 2006)…and so it is with March Madness .

One of the more famous Cinderella stories and one I remember well (it was the first year I ever filled out a bracket, as a freshman in high school), bettors and fans alike were stunned by the result of the 1985 championship game when No. 8 Villanova defeated the Patrick Ewing and his #1-seeded Georgetown Hoyas 66-64.

You also have the now well-known “#15 vs. #2” angle that gets talked about every year. Poolsters and bettors keep an eye on the 15 vs. 2 matchup every year, as it has produced several monumental upsets in the past. 

Sportsbetting.com is paying homage to the #15 vs. #2” storyline for this year’s tournament, as they are giving away a free $15 to all of their players if a #15-seed pulls off another upset. This gives bettors a reason to cheer on those 15-seeds, and takes some of the sting away from a bruised bracket if one does win (although don’t sweat it, everyone else will have taken the same wound to their bracket). 

Is there a “David” in this year’s group? Quite possibly. 

The biggest underdogs in the tournament, according to the odds posted by Sportsbetting.com are George Mason, Georgia, San Diego, Temple and Villanova; all listed at 500-1.

It’s always hard to foresee a Cinderella team but here are some that might have a shot.

Much like in 2006, the current edition of the George Mason Patriots sees a similar situation going into this tournament. They are seeded No. 12 (as opposed to 11) in the East and play No. 5 Notre Dame (as opposed to No. 6 Michigan St.).

Could lightning strike twice for the Patriots? They are a 6½-point underdog in this matchup. 

The UConn Huskies are favored against the San Diego Toreos, 11-points to be exact, and although it might be a bit of a stretch to predict a San Diego upset over Connecticut, it might not be to wager on SD. 

The Toreos are one of NCAA Div I’s best teams against the spread as they are 21-9 ATS and could be worth a wager. 

In the same boat as San Diego are the Temple Owls.

Seeded No. 12 in the South Region, Temple will face the Michigan State Spartans. 

Like the Toreos, the Owls are sharp at covering the spread, going 22-11 against the line. FYI Michigan St. is 13-14-2 ATS and is listed as a 7½-point fave against Temple. Will bettors give a hoot about Temple? Will Temple give MSU another early tourney exit? 

Stay tuned as the biggest tournament of the year tips-off and the storylines unfold. 

If you’re looking for a great free contest to add to the excitement, get your entry in to the $1 million “Hoops Madness” contest at Sportsbetting.com…and it’s FREE 

Enjoy the action, best of luck with all your wagers and your bracket.
 
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