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80% Winners in College Football...Can it be Done? (09-28-2007) |
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Written by AlexanderSports
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Friday, 28 September 2007 |
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Many an article has been written about the sports handicapping industry and the unfortunate fact that there are a lot of "services" out there that are nothing but scams. For the most part, if one of those supposed experts tells you that they are hitting 70% to 80% of their selections consistently, they are more than likely lying. The fact is that you can expect a very good handicapper to legitimately hit between 54% to 58% of their selections during the year overall. OnlineSportsHandicapping.com tracks all of its registered sports handicappers and allows you the player to select your favorite Capper with trust, knowing their selections and statistics are monitored and real.
However, that is not to say that on any particular weekend that there aren't any trends and angles out there that will exceed those numbers. The good handicappers know this and seek out these situations that will put their odds of producing winners on their side. So, the short of it is that on any given weekend there are situations that do produce a very high percentage of Winners historically so it is to our favor to take advantage of these. This is one such weekend where I have uncovered a couple of angles that have hit just about 80% of the time and are in fact 10-1 ATS this season! So what are they:
Angle #1:
This angle looks at teams that have high powered scoring machines playing opponents who's defense leaves a bit to be desired. In this situation playing on teams who are favored between 21.5 to 31 points coming into this weekend after scoring 42 points or more in their last game versus an opponent who was involved in a game where 70 total points or more were scored is a whopping 39-10 (79.6%) ATS since 1992 and a sparkling 6-1 ATS this season.
This weeks plays: Hawaii, Ohio State, and UCF.
Angle #2:
Now, we look at teams with a bad defense who is on the road playing a team who won their previous game by double digits. The situation here is to play against a team who has allowed 17 or more points during the first half of their previous game playing a team who beat their last opponent by 17 or more points. This angle has produced an identical 39-10 (79.5%) ATS mark since 1992 and is 4-1 ATS this season.
This Weeks Plays: UCF and Troy.
The key to any successful trend is whether or not they make sense and can hold up in the long run since almost anyone can search the internet and dig up a trend to support what team they think will win in any given game. These two have held up over time and make out and out sense. Basically you have a good team going against a bad team in both situations and odds are it's a mismatch.
Good Luck this weekend and join Michael at AlexanderSports for more winning selections as he has yet to have a losing weekend on the grid iron.
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Last Updated ( Friday, 28 September 2007 )
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