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 Who’s Next to be the college football picks favorite? One of the great things about college football, from a fan perspective, is that monumental upsets come at the most unlikeliest of times – a point that has been driven home the last two years of college football betting in particular.
Remember when the 15.5-point favorite Ohio State Buckeyes lost to the Illinois Fighting Illini 28-21 late last season in a game that almost (should have) cost OSU a berth in the BCS title game?
How about the 24-point road fave USC losing 27-21 to the Oregon State Beavers in late-September?
No, upsets always creep up on top-ranked teams and with the college football season nearing completion, an upset now will mean the difference between a lucrative BCS bowl game or one of those other bowls.
As it stands, the Alabama Crimson Tide are the No. 1 team in the nation, ranked at the top of the BCS, USA Today and AP polls.
Top teams have a hard time staying on top, so the ‘Tide best not take any teams lightly.
This week ‘Bama faces fellow SEC West team, the Mississippi State Bulldogs and although Mississippi St. is behind Alabama in the standings, they certainly wouldn’t mind throwing a wrench into the Crimson Tide’s BCS plans; Alabama is listed as a heavy 21.5-point fave.
While Mississippi State doesn’t do well straight up against teams from its own conference, (6-14 SU) it is a profitable 11-8-1 against the spread.
However, the Bulldogs are a “Dog” worth betting on when it comes to games against Alabama.
Dating back to 1996, Mississippi State is an even 6-6 SU against the current No. 1 but more impressively, is 9-3 ATS against Alabama in that time and the two have combined for 5 Unders and 2 Overs in the last seven tilts.
The public isn’t aware of the Bulldogs’ betting line dominance as 82% of the betting volume is going Alabama’s way. Will there be a new No. 1 come Sunday?
The Florida Gators know all about falling from the top.
Even though they haven’t been ranked No. 1 this season, the Gators suffered an untimely loss to Mississippi in September dropping a 31-30 decision as a 23-point home favorite; Florida saw itself drop from fourth to 12th and 13th in the AP and USA Today polls.
The Gators have clawed back and go into this week once again in the Top 5, ranked fourth in the BCS standings.
Florida’s opponent this week? The “Ol’ Ball Coach,” Steve Spurrier, and his South Carolina Gamecocks with the Gators listed as big 22.5-point home favorites.
The Gators have the edge against South Carolina going 11-1 SU in the last 12 games, although it should be said some of those wins came with Spurrier coaching Florida.
When it comes to wins and losses against the line, it is a different story, as the two teams are 6-6 ATS.
Like Alabama, an overwhelming majority of the betting action at Sportsbook.com is coming in on Florida, 81% to be exact.
As mentioned, USC (No. 6 in the BCS) was upset by Oregon State earlier this season and this week, they play a team that upset them in October of last year, the Stanford Cardinal with the Trojans listed as 24-point road faves.
USC is at the top of the Pac-10 standings while Stanford is in the bottom half but the two teams are quite even when it comes to wins SU and ATS.
USC holds a slight 7-5 edge straight up when playing Stanford the last 12 games but is behind the proverbial eight-ball when it comes to the betting line as the Trojans are 5-7 against Stanford ATS.
The Trojans are also seeing an edge in the betting volume as 77% of the wagers are going USC’s way at Sportsbook.com.
The college football season is nearing an end but that only means that the intrigue will only increase as bowl time approaches. Our sports handicapping experts are ready to roll through the full season of NCAAF Football betting action with expert picks and free picks. Get on board for the 2008 College Football picks betting season with our expert College Football Picks and Free picks. Also, stay on top of the industry sports betting odds with our live College Football Betting Odds feed which provides real time sports betting odds from the top internet sportsbooks, all in one easy to use sports betting location. Get sports betting line moves in real time and find out which NCAAF team has the best College Football sports betting Odds. |
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