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Home  Sports News College Football News College football Picks Week 9 New Mexico v. Air Force |
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College football Picks Week 9 New Mexico v. Air Force |
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Written by DavePrice
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Thursday, 23 October 2008 |
The New Mexico Lobos head to Colorado to take on the Air Force Falcons in a Thursday night Mountain West Conference showdown. College football Odds makers don’t feel New Mexico will bring the same magic which propelled them to a 70-7 slaughter of San Diego State in its last game and have listed Air Force college football opening odds as the 6-point home favorites .
New Mexico scored 49 points in the first half in its impressive 70-7 win over San Diego State. San Diego State is now 1-6 on the season and 0-3 in the league. Air Force will be a much bigger fish to fry.
Tailback Rodney Ferguson racked up 149 yards and four touchdowns on the Aztecs as New Mexico amassed 419 total rushing yards. Perhaps even more impressive, the defense gave up only 80 total yards in the first half to the Aztecs.
The Lobos’ offensive line gets my MVP award in its last game and this unit is going to have to play even better against Air Force. While the line was thought to be an inexperienced unit heading into the season, it has helped New Mexico average 290.8 yards per game on the ground over the last four games.
The Lobos will face a tall task in stopping Air Force’s triple option attack, but they were able to rest their players in the second half of their last game and they do have great speed on defense. If you think the Lobos will keep on rolling this week, bet New Mexico at +6.
Dave Price's College Football Statistics for Last 7 Days | NCAA-F Overall Stats | | +283.95 units | | +54.61% | | +60.03% | | 5-1-0 | | 83% | | 4-1-0 | | 1-0-0 | | 0-0-0 | | 86.66 units | | |
Air Force freshman signal caller Tim Jefferson played well beyond his years in Saturday’s 29-28 thrilling win over UNLV.
Jefferson guided the offense on a pair of fourth quarter scoring drives in just his second career start to secure the win. The wins took the Falcons to 5-2 on the season and 3-1 in MWC play.
Jefferson ran for 99 yards on 13 totes and was 6 of 7 through the air for 162 yards and a pair of scores.
Air Force does most of its damage on the ground and that is what New Mexico is going to have to try to stop this week. The Falcons were able to rack up 346 rushing yards against the Rebels.
While fullback Todd Newell was the big star of the UNLV game, New Mexico is going to have to watch out for explosive freshman Asher Clark. Clark made a key 15-yard run on the Falcons’ game-winning touchdown drive.
The Falcons perennially boast one of the best rushing attacks in the nation and have now gained 747 yards on the turf in the last two games, but the Falcons will likely need another stellar performance from freshman QB Tim Jefferson to secure another win.
They are also going to have to cut down on costly penalties. Air Force was whistled for eight infractions totaling 67 yards last game. These things are drive killers on offense and extenders on defense and they can be the difference in close contests. A near fatal false start penalty went on center Andrew Pipes last week. The Falcons were ready to go for it on fourth-and-goal from the 1-yard line but had to settle for a field goal after the penalty.
Also, the defense has to be better on third down. UNLV converted on 8 of 13 third downs and the Falcons last three opponents have combined to make good on 23 of their last 47 third down situations. With as well as New Mexico can run the football, Air Force has to be better in this area. If you think the Falcons can improve to 4-1 in the MWC and cover the point spread in the process, bet Air Force at -6 at a trusted sportsbook.
Select your line and bet on this week 9 college football picks matchup now!  Our sports handicapping experts are ready to roll through the full season of NCAAF Football betting action with expert picks and free picks. Get on board for the 2008 College Football picks betting season with our expert College Football Picks and Free picks. Also, stay on top of the industry sports betting odds with our live College Football Betting Odds feed which provides real time sports betting odds from the top internet sportsbooks, all in one easy to use sports betting location. Get sports betting line moves in real time and find out which NCAAF team has the best College Football sports betting Odds.
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Last Updated ( Wednesday, 22 October 2008 )
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