Sunday the unbeaten New England Patriots host the San Diego Chargers in the AFC Championship game.  The New England Patriots are favorites to remain unbeaten and advance to the Super Bowl but they don’t need to look back that far to see what can happen to teams that are favored to win.  Last year it was San Diego that was favored against New England in the playoffs and Patriots got the victory.  The San Diego Chargers had the best record in last year’s playoffs but gave up a 10 point lead and were defeated by New england 24-21.  The Patriots will attempt to avoid overlooking San Diego on Sunday. "Going out on the road and beating the Colts shows the kind of mental grit they really have," Patriots coach Bill Belichick stated. "They've got a very talented team. I think everybody realizes that." SBG Global oddsmakers report  that the early NFL picks has the public taking New England at Foxboro.

“The Patriots offense is unstoppable and there matchups against Dallas, Indy and NY Giants showed exactly that.,” stated OnlineSportsHandicapping.com Super Bowl Picks Expert Noibet.com when asked to comment on the AFC Championship Game between the San Diego Chargers vs New England Patriots.  “Every attempt by the opposition has been unsuccessful with several variations in the plan they have all failed to overcome the New England Patriots Superbowl bound offense.”
 
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The Tom Brady lead New England Patriots come to the AFC Championship game with the best offense in NFL has ever seen.  New England has scored an NFL record 589 points with Tom Brady setting an NFL record for 50 TD passes and Randy Moss receiving touchdowns with 23 setting another NFL record.  The Patriots offense should get a real test this week against the Chargers defense that has only given up 13.1 points per game over the last eight weeks and forced 26 turnovers. "This defense will challenge us more than any defense we've faced all year," Brady said. "And I hope we play as well as we can, that's the only way I think we're gonna be able to advance through this round is to play our best football." In the first game between tNew England and San Diego Brady threw three TD passes, two to Randy Moss. Last week Tom Brady set another NFL playoff record for a quarterback rating he was 26-of-28 for 262 yards with three TD passes.

“With the weather being windy and around 8 degrees expect the team that is able to run the ball to have a decided advantage.,” stated Sports-Odds.com Super Bowl Picks Expert Brad Marchetti of Einstein Picks when asked to comment on the AFC Championship Game between the San Diego Chargers vs New England Patriots.  “The Patriots have been suspect against the run and they will be facing a wicked San Diego running attack.”
 
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San Diego enters the AFC Championship matchup a bit dinged up.  QB Philip Rivers, running back LaDainian Tomlinson and tight end Antonio Gates are all expected to play but their efficiency will be the big question. "We're getting ready to play the best team in the National Football History. We need to rally our team members and make sure everyone is as healthy as possible," Chargers running back Michael Turner said. "I've been saying it since August; we want to be at our best. I hope we haven't played our best game yet. That's what we're trying to get done this week."

“This game pits two of the hottest teams in the NFL with 17 and 8 game winning streaks on the line,” stated Point-Spreads.com Super Bowl Picks Expert Mike Alexander of Alexander Sports when asked to comment on the AFC Championship Game between the San Diego Chargers vs New England Patriots.  “New England has won the last two meetings between  these two clubs but that might not be enough to cover this number.”

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The Chargers did not play well at New England earlier this season losing 38-14.  They bounced back from that loss and won 10 of their final 12 games during the regular season. "If you look at our team, we are playing a whole lot better than we did in Week 2," said Chargers cornerback Antonio Cromartie, "This is Week 20 now and we're a whole different team. We've been undefeated since I think Week 12. It's a big thing for us just to keep it going." San Diego is 10-2 since acquiring wide receiver Chris Chambers from Miami.  Chambers had a TD catch last week and has been a key option for quarterback Philip Rivers. Last week against Indianapolis, Rivers played well before getting hurt going 14-of-19 for 264 yards with three TDs and one interception.  It will also be important on Sunday for the Chargers to run the ball and that means Tomlinson will have to play better than he has so far in the playoffs. He has just 70 yards on 28 carries in the playoffs.  He was held to 43 yards on 18 attempts at New England in Week 2.

AFC Championship Betting Preview
San Diego Chargers (13-5) at New England Patriots (17-0)
Sunday, 3:00 pm Eastern – CBS
SBG Global Opening Line: Patriots  - 15  , Total 51
SBG Global Current Line: Patriots  - 13 (-115)  , Total 46

Here are the NFL betting stats for Sunday’s game. The Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Chargers are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Chargers are 35-17-3 ATS in their last 55 vs. the AFC. The Chargers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings between the two teams. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
 
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Championship games. The Patriots are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 playoff home games. The Patriots are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games in January. The Patriots are 41-20-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
 
The Over is 4-0-1 in the Chargers last 5 games as a road underdog. The Under is 5-1 in the Chargers last 6 games in January.
 
The Under is 9-2-1 in the Patriots last 12 playoff home games. The Over is 8-3-1 in the Patriots last 12 games as a home favorite. The Over is 16-6-1 in the Patriots last 23 games overall. The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New England between the two teams.
 
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